Day Of Reckoning Looms For The U.S. Dollar

The U.S. dollar’s day of reckoning may be inching closer as its status as a safe-haven currency fades with every uptick in stocks and commodities and its potential risks – debt and inflation – are brought under a harsher spotlight.

Ashraf Laidi, chief market strategist at CMC Markets, said Wednesday a “serious case of dollar damage” was underway.

“We long warned about the day of reckoning for the dollar emerging at the next economic recovery,” Mr. Laidi said in a note.

Mr. Laidi said economic recovery would weigh on the greenback as real demand for commodities, coupled with improved risk appetite, caused investors to seek higher yields in emerging markets and commodity currencies. This would draw investment away from the U.S. dollar, which was dragged down by growing debt and the risk quantitative easing would eventually spark a surge in inflation.

The U.S. dollar slid against most major currencies Wednesday, hitting a five-month low of US$1.3775 against the euro and pushing the Canadian dollar up US1.21¢ to a seven-month high of US87.69¢.

John Curran, the senior corporate dealer at Canadian Forex, said the U.S. dollar would likely fall further in the next week, with the Canadian dollar likely reaching about US88.35¢, at which point it could break higher to test the US92.35¢ level.

“The U.S. dollar is continuing to slide as investor appetite is gaining momentum,” Mr. Curran said. “People are getting comfortable about taking on a little more risk.”

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Where Are The $ Trillions Going?

Rep. Alan Grayson asks the Federal Reserve Inspector General about the trillions of dollars lent or spent by the Federal Reserve and where it went, and the trillions of off balance sheet obligations. Inspector General Elizabeth Coleman responds that the IG does not know and is not tracking where this money is.

Bloomberg Story

UK Prime Minister Gordon Brown Says World Is Already In A Depression

Gordon Brown described the global economic downturn as a depression for the first time yesterday during a furious Commons clash with David Cameron.

The Prime Minister’s remark came as he told MPs that countries “should agree as a world on a monetary and fiscal stimulus that will take the world out of depression”.

His use of the D word was not picked up at the time by Mr Cameron, who was using a series of questions to embarrass Mr Brown over his “British jobs for British workers” slogan that has been used by strikers in the foreign labour dispute.

Downing Street officials later moved swiftly to say that he had not intended to refer to the word depression but had slipped up. They suggested that he meant “recession”.

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